Due Diligence

Every figure below was pulled on the snapshot date from the chain and its deepest DEX pools, and will be stale by the time you read it — treat it as a dated observation, not a quote.

The Anchor Series — the Five Charted x000 Maturities

These five carry 86% of all HTT pool liquidity, and each has a fitted regression channel behind it — the deepest has held one flat channel for 380 days (the channels).  This is the market the analysis on this page stands on.

Community-Created Maturities — Listed for Transparency

Created by community members under the same immutable contract rules, with the remaining 14% of pool liquidity spread across them.  Pools this thin can print strange prices (see the HTT-8000 note below); they are listed for completeness, not endorsement — no fitted channels, no analysis built on them.

*Three related numbers, one price — matching the official app's vocabulary: Discount = 1 − price (relative to par; the app's "HTT Discount To HEX" chart). Total return = 1/price − 1 (your gain on what you paid — the same definition as the app Dashboard's "Total Return"). YTM = that total return annualized in HEX terms, compounded, ACT/365: ((1 / price)^365/days − 1).  The app's "APR" is the simple annualization — Total Return ÷ years to maturity — verified against the live Dashboard on 2026-07-10 (HTT-3000: 15.30% total over 1.61 years → 9.49% APR displayed; compounding would give 9.22%).  Simple reads higher than compounded on multi-year tenors, so compare figures within one convention, never across.  One more display nuance: the app shows redemption dates in local time, so they can read one calendar day earlier than the UTC dates here — same on-chain moment.  None of these are dollar returns.  Prices and pool depth from each series' deepest HEX-paired DEX pool (the app's liquidity chart also counts additional pools, such as the PHUX "HEX Time Complex," so its totals can read higher); series without a live HEX pool are excluded rather than estimated.  Anyone can verify: the token addresses are in the Manual's Appendix A.

Yes, the HTT-8000 row is inverted — it prints 18 points rich to HTT-7900 despite three more months of tenor.  That is not free money waiting to be taken; it is what a $24,685 pool looks like — one small trade can pin the price (its early depth reportedly seeded ahead of the dated farm changeover: on October 9, 2026, HTT-3000’s farming rewards end and HTT-8000’s begin).  Thin-pool prints like this are exactly why pool depth is a column in this table, and why the sizing rule everywhere on this site is "trade a small fraction of the pool."

The Redemption Record

The 1:1 mechanism is audited and formally verified — and it has now also been tested by reality.

As of 2026-08-15: 10 series have reached maturity.  6 redeemed down to zero; the rest carry a combined 40,887 HTT of unclaimed remainders — about $111 at the snapshot HEX price.  Across everything ever minted in the matured series — 606,355 HTT — 93.3% has been redeemed, reconstructed from each token's full mint-and-burn event history and reconciled exactly against today's outstanding supply.  Unclaimed is not failed: redemption burns the token, so outstanding supply is value holders never collected, not value the protocol withheld.

The Census — Trust the Factory, Not the Name

Every genuine HTT is deployed by one immutable factory contract (the HEXTimeTokenManager), so authenticity is checkable, not takeable-on-faith.  We test it: on 2026-08-15, a name search of the chain found 44 tokens calling themselves HEX Time Tokens; asking the factory's own registry confirmed 41 genuine series.  The 3 others — whatever their creators intended — were not created by the factory and cannot be redeemed through the protocol.  The durable rule, from the Manual: a token named like an HTT is not an HTT — a token created by the HEXTimeTokenManager is (Ch. 6 and Appendix A, which explains how to run the creator check yourself).

Settlement — What Happens When, and If Not

The full mechanics, with the escrow schedule chart and both auditors' corroboration, are in the Manual: Ch. 6 (minting & escrow) and Ch. 4 (redemption properties).

Who Controls What

Tax & Regulatory Status: Unsettled

No guidance exists for this instrument specifically.  The questions a professional would ask are open: whether the embedded discount accrues like original-issue discount, whether each swap along the curve is a taxable disposal (it likely is, in most jurisdictions), whether an HTT is a security where you live.  The Manual's Ch. 2 covers the record-keeping discipline this implies; none of it is advice.  Assume conservative treatment and a professional preparer.

Run Your Own — the Method Behind This Page

Everything above is just seven questions asked stubbornly.  They work on any project — here is each one, how to check it anywhere, and how this page checked it for HTTs.

1. Who controls it?  Find out who can change the rules or touch the funds — admin keys, upgradeable contracts, a multisig, a person.  If someone can, you are trusting them, not the code, and everything else is secondary.  Here: immutable, no admin keys, audit record with its caveats — Who Controls What.
2. What backs it, exactly?  "Backed" is a claim until you can point at the collateral and the rule that connects it to your claim.  Prefer things a block explorer can show you over things a website tells you.  Here: one HEX per HTT, enforced by a verified invariant — the instrument, precisely.
3. Is the name real?  Anyone can deploy a token with any name.  Check the creator: who deployed this contract, and is that the address the official docs name?  Here: 44 tokens claimed the name, the factory confirmed 41 — the census.
4. What are the numbers — with dates?  Size, liquidity, volume, and yield, each with a date attached.  An undated number is marketing; a dated one is a fact you can re-check.  Recompute at least one yield figure yourself — if you can't, you don't understand the instrument yet.  Here: the market, measured, with the worked example.
5. What happens when it goes wrong?  Walk the failure path before you need it: who bears late settlement, what recourse exists (often: none), and how much you could actually sell into the pool on a bad day.  Here: the settlement waterfall — and the thin-pool footnote under the curve table.
6. Who profits from telling you this?  Every source has incentives — sellers, holders, sponsored voices, and yes, this site's author holds the assets discussed.  Incentives don't make a claim false; they tell you which claims to verify hardest.  Here: the disclosure and the bibliography.
7. What do the critics say — and does anyone answer them?  Search the project's name next to "scam," "critique," and "risk."  Silence usually measures audience size, not safety.  A project whose community answers criticism with facts is telling you something; one that deletes it is telling you more.  Here: What the Skeptics Say, concessions included.
8. When the answer is an attack, read the shape of it.  A project that cannot defend the facts will often question the motives of whoever raised them, until the argument is about the accuser instead of the claim — the pattern psychologists call DARVO.  Noticing it keeps you on the original question.  But it only runs one way: “they're shouting loudest, so they're guilty” is unfalsifiable, and it convicts the people with the best reason to shout — those who actually lost money.  A deflecting scammer and a genuine victim both sound loud, angry and certain.  Judge the claim, never the volume.